{"id":150,"date":"2011-10-06T16:33:02","date_gmt":"2011-10-06T16:33:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/rammb.cira.colostate.edu\/research\/goes-r\/proving_ground\/blog\/?p=150"},"modified":"2026-03-06T09:05:41","modified_gmt":"2026-03-06T16:05:41","slug":"synthetic-satellite-imagery-in-temperature-forecasting","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/rammb2.cira.colostate.edu\/proving-ground-blog\/2011\/10\/06\/synthetic-satellite-imagery-in-temperature-forecasting\/","title":{"rendered":"Synthetic Satellite Imagery in Temperature Forecasting"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Synthetic satellite imagery can be useful in forecasting temperature.&nbsp; This example from September 20-21, 2011 demonstrates the utility of synthetic imagery from the 4-km NSSL WRF-ARW model in forecasting the overnight low temperature.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Focusing on southeast Wyoming, examine the synthetic infrared imagery from late afternoon (2000 UTC) through the late night hours (0800 UTC):<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/rammb.cira.colostate.edu\/templates\/loop_directory.asp?data_folder=training\/visit\/loops\/20sept11_syn&amp;image_width=800&amp;image_height=600\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">http:\/\/rammb.cira.colostate.edu\/templates\/loop_directory.asp?data_folder=training\/visit\/loops\/20sept11_syn&amp;image_width=800&amp;image_height=600<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Early in the loop, there is afternoon convective clouds in southeast Wyoming, which diminishes by 0300 UTC.&nbsp; However, notice the region of clouds (indicated by the colder brightness temperatures) developing across southeast Wyoming in the 0300-0800 UTC time range.&nbsp; If the forecast is correct, the cloud cover would keep temperatures from cooling down as quickly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Now let\u2019s analyze what actually happened by looking at the GOES IR imagery:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/rammb.cira.colostate.edu\/templates\/loop_directory.asp?data_folder=training\/visit\/loops\/20sept11_goes&amp;image_width=800&amp;image_height=600\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">http:\/\/rammb.cira.colostate.edu\/templates\/loop_directory.asp?data_folder=training\/visit\/loops\/20sept11_goes&amp;image_width=800&amp;image_height=600<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Note the clouds developing into southeast Wyoming in the 0500-0745 UTC time range, similar to what was forecast by the WRF-ARW model.&nbsp; This caused locations under the cloud cover to not cool off as quickly, for example, look at the temperature trace (red line) for Cheyenne, WY:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"463\" height=\"240\" src=\"https:\/\/rammb2.cira.colostate.edu\/proving-ground-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2011\/10\/cheyenne1.png\" alt=\"Note the clouds developing into southeast Wyoming in the 0500-0745 UTC time range, similar to what was forecast by the WRF-ARW model.\u00a0 This caused locations under the cloud cover to not cool off as quickly, for example, look at the temperature trace (red line) for Cheyenne, WY:\" class=\"wp-image-152\" srcset=\"https:\/\/rammb2.cira.colostate.edu\/proving-ground-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2011\/10\/cheyenne1.png 463w, https:\/\/rammb2.cira.colostate.edu\/proving-ground-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2011\/10\/cheyenne1-300x156.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 463px) 100vw, 463px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Temperatures at Cheyenne cooled off gradually to about 1000 UTC, then the cloud cover dissipated allowing temperatures to cool more rapidly to an overnight low of 36 F.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Similarly, at locations further east in the southern Nebraska panhandle, cloud cover kept Kimball, NE from cooling off too rapidly for an overnight low of&nbsp; 42:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"475\" height=\"246\" src=\"https:\/\/rammb2.cira.colostate.edu\/proving-ground-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2011\/10\/kimball.png\" alt=\"Similarly, at locations further east in the southern Nebraska panhandle, cloud cover kept Kimball, NE from cooling off too rapidly for an overnight low of\u00a0 42:\" class=\"wp-image-153\" srcset=\"https:\/\/rammb2.cira.colostate.edu\/proving-ground-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2011\/10\/kimball.png 475w, https:\/\/rammb2.cira.colostate.edu\/proving-ground-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2011\/10\/kimball-300x155.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 475px) 100vw, 475px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And an overnight low of 40 at Sidney, NE:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"473\" height=\"244\" src=\"https:\/\/rammb2.cira.colostate.edu\/proving-ground-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2011\/10\/sidney.png\" alt=\"And an overnight low of 40 at Sidney, NE:\" class=\"wp-image-154\" srcset=\"https:\/\/rammb2.cira.colostate.edu\/proving-ground-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2011\/10\/sidney.png 473w, https:\/\/rammb2.cira.colostate.edu\/proving-ground-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2011\/10\/sidney-300x155.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 473px) 100vw, 473px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Meanwhile, at Douglas (about 150 miles north of Cheyenne) in east central Wyoming:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"479\" height=\"244\" src=\"https:\/\/rammb2.cira.colostate.edu\/proving-ground-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2011\/10\/douglas.png\" alt=\"Meanwhile, at Douglas (about 150 miles north of Cheyenne) in east central Wyoming:\" class=\"wp-image-155\" srcset=\"https:\/\/rammb2.cira.colostate.edu\/proving-ground-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2011\/10\/douglas.png 479w, https:\/\/rammb2.cira.colostate.edu\/proving-ground-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2011\/10\/douglas-300x153.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 479px) 100vw, 479px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Temperatures cooled off more rapidly as skies remained clear, and the overnight low was 25 F.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Real-time synthetic imagery from the 4-km NSSL WRF-ARW model may be viewed here:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/rammb.cira.colostate.edu\/ramsdis\/online\/goes-r_proving_ground.asp#Synthetic_GOES-R_Imagery_from_Real-Time_NSSL_4_km_WRF-ARW\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">http:\/\/rammb.cira.colostate.edu\/ramsdis\/online\/goes-r_proving_ground.asp#Synthetic_GOES-R_Imagery_from_Real-Time_NSSL_4_km_WRF-ARW<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Contributor:&nbsp; Becca Mazur, NWS forecast office, Cheyenne, WY<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Synthetic satellite imagery can be useful in forecasting temperature.&nbsp; This example from September 20-21, 2011 demonstrates the utility of synthetic imagery from the 4-km NSSL WRF-ARW model in forecasting the overnight low temperature. Focusing on southeast Wyoming, examine the synthetic infrared imagery from late afternoon (2000 UTC) through the late night hours (0800 UTC): http:\/\/rammb.cira.colostate.edu\/templates\/loop_directory.asp?data_folder=training\/visit\/loops\/20sept11_syn&amp;image_width=800&amp;image_height=600 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-150","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-synthetic-nssl-wrf-arw-imagery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/rammb2.cira.colostate.edu\/proving-ground-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/150","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/rammb2.cira.colostate.edu\/proving-ground-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/rammb2.cira.colostate.edu\/proving-ground-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rammb2.cira.colostate.edu\/proving-ground-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rammb2.cira.colostate.edu\/proving-ground-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=150"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/rammb2.cira.colostate.edu\/proving-ground-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/150\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1283,"href":"https:\/\/rammb2.cira.colostate.edu\/proving-ground-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/150\/revisions\/1283"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/rammb2.cira.colostate.edu\/proving-ground-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=150"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rammb2.cira.colostate.edu\/proving-ground-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=150"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rammb2.cira.colostate.edu\/proving-ground-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=150"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}