Problems in Forecasting

United Airlines Flight 967 – Severe Turbulence, July 20, 2010

Jeff Braun and Dan Lindsey NOAA/RAMMB CIRA/CSU ***(Also, please see addendum near the end of this message) The following are a sequence of GOES-13 visible images from 19:45 UTC on 20 July 2010 to 00:45 UTC on 21 July 2010. On 20 July 2010, a United Airlines Boeing 777 aircraft experienced severe turbulence during its Continue Reading

Aviation Weather Convection Destructive Winds GOES GOES R GOES-R Proving Ground Miscellaneous Problems in Forecasting Satellites Severe Weather Turbulence

West Texas Windstorm: 8 February 2009

Ken Pryor A convectively active late winter season over the Great Plains has proven fruitful for the assessment of the GOES-11 imager microburst risk product. During the evening of 8 February 2009, a line of convective storms tracked through eastern New Mexico and western Texas, producing several strong downbursts west of Lubbock. This event served as another Continue Reading

Convection Destructive Winds Downbursts GOES Problems in Forecasting Satellites Severe Weather

Flash Flood Season in the Rocky Mountain West – Just a Reminder

Jeff Braun This is just a brief reminder that it is monsoon/(FLASH) flood season here in Colorado and the rest of the Rocky Mountain West and adjacent High Plains.  While this region is no stranger to flooding conditions…particularly in the late spring and early summer when combined severe weather threats often aggravate the ongoing snow Continue Reading

Climatology Heavy Rain and Flooding Issues Monsoon Problems in Forecasting

Some Great Knowledge, Papers, and Training Materials That You May Have Missed

Jeff Braun Below are some links to, or copies of, some perhaps lesser known meteorological training materials.  Many of these have been born out of Aviation Weather programs either here in the USA through the military Air Force Weather Agency (AFWA) or the FAA, or from up north and our Canadian Neighbors.  Although some of Continue Reading

Aviation Weather Convection Hydrology Miscellaneous News of Interest NWP Models (NCEP) Problems in Forecasting RADAR Research Satellites Severe Weather Tropical Cyclones Winter Weather

Experimental Warning Program 2008 at NSSL starts April 28, 2008

From NSSL: April 28, 2008 NSSL is hosting the six-week Experimental Warning Program (EWP) Spring Program beginning today, 28 April 2008, in the NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed at the National Weather Center in Norman, Okla. The mission of the EWP Spring Program is to evaluate the accuracy and operational utility of new science, technology, and Continue Reading

Problems in Forecasting Research Severe Weather Watches and Warnings

QPF Bombs and Getting the Most Out of Your Model

J. Braun Above is an example of two model forecast runs (12 hours apart).  The main difference comes when looking at the QPF amounts generated over ERN ND and NWRN MN between the two model runs.  The later model run on the right is able to transport more moisture to the north as opposed to the earlier run with the large QPF Bomb over ERN KS and Continue Reading

NWP Models (NCEP) Problems in Forecasting

What Could Have Been…

(Click for larger view.) As many of you know (or may not know) the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) decided to drop plans for the development of the Hyperspectral Environmental Suite (HES) (aka. the Advanced Baseline Imager/Sounder) for the “next generation” of geostationary weather satellites (GOES-R and Beyond). The common line was that NOAA was not confident that a brand new Continue Reading

GOES GOES R Problems in Forecasting Research Satellites