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RAMMB-CIRA Administrative Quarterly Report


1st Quarter: October, November, December 2015

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Publications, Presentations, and Awards

To Accepted and Submitted Publications  To Presentations and Posters

Published: 

  • Refereed

Folmer, M, M. DeMaria, R. Ferraro, J. Beven, M. Brennan, J. Daniels, R. Kuligowski, H. Meng, S. Rudlosky, L. Zhao, J. A. Knaff, S. Kusselson, S. D. Miller, T. Schmit, C. Velden, and B. Zavodsky, 2015: Satellite tools to monitor and predict Hurricane Sandy (2012): Current and emerging products. Atmospheric Research, 166, 165-181.

Gochis, D., R. S. Schumacher, K. Friedrich, N. Doesken, M. Kelsch, J. Sun, K. Ikeda, D. T. Lindsey, A. Wood, B. Dolan, S. Matrosov, A. Newman, K. Mahoney, S. Rutledge, R. Johnson, P. Kucera, P. Kennedy, D. Sempere-Torres, M. Steiner, R. Roberts, J. Wilson, W. Yu, V. Chandrasekar, R. Rasmussen, A. Anderson, B. Brown, 2015: The great Colorado flood of September 2013.Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96:9, 1461-1487.

Hillger, D. W., T. Kopp, C. J. Seaman, S. D. Miller, D. T. Lindsey, E. Stevens, J. Solbrig, W. Straka III, M. Kreller, A. Kuciauskas, and A. Terborg, 2015: User Validation of VIIRS Satellite Imagery. Remote Sensing, 8:11, doi: 10.3390/rs8010011

Kaplan, J.,  C. M. Rozoff, M. DeMaria, C. R. Sampson, J. P. Kossin, C. S. Velden, J. J. Cione, J. P. Dunion, J. A. Knaff, J. A. Zhang, J. F. Dostalek, J. D. Hawkins, T. F. Lee, and J. E. Solbrig, 2015: Evaluating environmental impacts on tropical cyclone rapid intensification predictability utilizing statistical models. Wea. Forecasting30, 1374-1396.  doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-15-0032.1

Knaff, J. A.,  S. P. Longmore, and D. A. Molenar, 2015: CORRIGENDUM. J. Climate28:21, 8648–8651.  doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0610.1

Miller, S. D., W. C. Straka III, J. Yue, S. M. Smith, M. J. Alexander, L. Hoffmann, M. Setvak, and P. T. Partain, 2015: Upper atmospheric gravity wave details revealed in nightglow satellite imagery. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci., 112:49, E6728–E6735; doi: 10.1073/pnas.1508084112 with cover picture! URL: http://www.pnas.org/content/112/49/E6728.full

Sampson C. R, and J. A. Knaff, 2015: A consensus forecast for tropical cyclone gale wind radii. Wea. Forecasting30, 1397-1403.  doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-15-0009.1

Seaman, C. J., D. W. Hillger, T. Kopp, R. Williams, S. D. Miller and D. T. Lindsey, 2015: Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) Imagery Environmental Data Record (EDR) User’s Guide. NOAA Technical Report NESDIS 150, 31 pp. https://doi.org/10.7289/V5/TR-NESDIS-150

Wu, L., W. Tian, Q. Liu, J. Cao, and J. A. Knaff, 2015: Implications of the Observed Relationship between Tropical Cyclone Size and Intensity over the Western North Pacific. Journal of Climate. 28, 9501-9506.

  • Nonrefereed

See Presentations and Posters.

Accepted:

  • Refereed 

Gladkova, I., A. Ignatov, F. Shahriar, Y. Kihai, D.W. Hillger, B. Petrenko, 2016: Improved VIIRS and MODIS SST Imagery. Remote Sensing.

Grasso, L.D., D.T. Lindsey, K.-S. Lim, A. Clark, D.E. Bikos, 2016: Evaluation of and Suggested Improvements to the WSM6 Microphysics in WRF-ARW Using Synthetic and Observed GOES-13 Imagery. Monthly Weather Review.

Kliewer, A.J., S.J. Fletcher, A.S. Jones and J.M. Forsythe, 2016:  Comparison of Gaussian, logarithmic transform and mixed Gaussian-lognormal distribution-based 1DVAR microwave temperature-water vapor mixing ratio retrievals.  Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, doi:10.1002/qj.2651.

Knaff, J.A., S.P. Longmore, R.T. DeMaria, D.A. Molenar, 2016: Improved tropical cyclone flight-level wind estimates using routine infrared satellite reconnaissance. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology.

Knaff, J.A., C. Slocum, K.D. Musgrave, C.R. Sampson, B. Strahl, 2016: Using Routinely Available Information to Estimate Tropical Cyclone Wind Structure. Monthly Weather Review.

Lang, T.J., S.A. Rutledge, B. Dolan, P. Krehbiel, W. Rison, D.T. Lindsey, 2016: Lightning in Wildfire Smoke Plumes Observed in Colorado during Summer 2012. Mon.Wea.Rev.

  • Nonrefereed

Submitted:

  • Refereed 

Grasso, L.D., D.W. Hillger, M. Sengupta, 2016:  Demonstrating the Utility of the GOES-R 2.25 µm band for Fire Retrieval. Geophysical Research Letters.

Sampson, C.R., J. Hansen, P. Wittman, J.A. Knaff, and A.B. Schumacher, 2016: Wave probabilities consistent with official tropical cyclone forecasts. Ocean Model.

Taraphdar, S., L.R. Leung, S. Hagos, K. Balaguru, and J.A. Knaff, 2016: Why is the United States experiencing less frequent landfalling major hurricanes in the recent decades? Science.

 

  • Nonrefereed               

Bender, M., M. Morin,K. Emmanuel, J. A. Knaff, C. R. Sampson, I. Ginis and B. Thomas, 2016: Impact of Storm structure and the environmental conditions in the the Rapid Intensification of Hurricanes Katrina and Patricia. 32nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.  

Chirokova, G., M. DeMaria, J. F. Dostalek, R. DeMaria, J. A. Knaff, K. D. Musgrave, and J. Beven, 2016: Evaluation of the ATMS-MIRS and NUCAPS retrievals in the vicinity of the Tropical Cyclones. 32nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.  

 

Chirokova, G., J. A. Knaff, R. DeMaria, M. DeMaria, and J. Beven, 2016: Use of the VIIRS Day-Night Band Imagery for Tropical Cyclone Analysis and Forecasting. 32nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.      

Connell, B. H., 2016: JPSS Readiness through Training: VISIT, SHyMet, WMO, Vlab and a new Liaison.12th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems, 96th AMS Annual Meeting, 10-14 January 2016, New Orleans, LA. (oral presentation)

DeMaria, M., G. Chirokova, J. A. Knaff, K. D. Musgrave, and M. Bozeman, 2016: Automated Objective Tropical Cyclone Eye Detection. 32nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.  

DeMaria, R., J. A. Knaff, G. Chirokova, and J. Beven, 2016: Automated Objective Tropical Cyclone Eye Detection. 32nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.  

Dostalek, J. F., G. Chirokova, J. A. Knaff, S. Longmore, R. DeMaria, A. B. Schumacher, and C. R. Sampson, 2016: Recent and Future Updates to the Operational, Satellite-Based Tropical Cyclone Products Produced at the Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere. 32nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.  

Hillger, D. W., 2016: How is VIIRS EDR Imagery Validated? 12th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems, 96th AMS Annual Meeting, 10-14 January 2016, New Orleans, LA. (oral presentation)

Knaff, J. A., T. Birner, G. Chirokova, L. Rivoire, and R. DeMaria, 2016: Satellite Views of the Tropical Cyclone Lifecycle. 32nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.

Knaff, J. A., G. Chirokova, C. R. Sampson, and M. DeMaria, 2016: Development of Global Statistical-Dynamical Tropical Cyclone Wind Radii and MSLP Guidance. 32nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.

Lindsey, D. T., 2016: A First Look at Imagery from Himawari-8. 12th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems, 96th AMS Annual Meeting, 10-14 January 2016, New Orleans, LA. (poster presentation)

Lindsey, D. T., 2016: Improvements to the CRTM for Cloudy Radiance Calculations. 4th Annual Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation (JCSDA),96th AMS Annual Meeting, 10-14 January 2016, New Orleans, LA. (poster presentation)

Miller, S. D., 2016: The Return of True Color to the Geostationary Satellites: Transitioning from Polar, to Himawari, to GOES-R. 12th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems, 96th AMS Annual Meeting, 10-14 January 2016, New Orleans, LA. (oral presentation)

Musgrave, K. D., M. DeMaria, and J. Kaplan, 2016: Examination of Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification Guidance with Multiple Dynamical Model Inputs. 32nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.

Musgrave K. D., M. DeMaria, and B. D. McNoldy, 2016: Global Expansion of a Statistical-Dynamical Ensemble for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Prediction. 32nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.

Schumacher, A. B. and E. Dagg, 2016: An examination of uncertainty statements in tropical cyclone forecast products. 32nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.

Schumacher, A. B. and M. DeMaria, 2016:: Incorporating global model uncertainty information into the Monte Carlo wind speed probability model. 32nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.

Tourville, N., 2016: Scientific Analysis and Visualization of Tropical Cyclone’s using CloudSat and A-Train data in Python. Sixth Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python, 96th AMS Annual Meeting, 10-14 January 2016, New Orleans, LA.

Wu, T. – C., M. Zupanski, L. D. Grasso, P. Brown, C.D. Kummerow, and J. A. Knaff, 2016: The GSI Capability to Assimilate TRMM and GPM Hydrometeor Retrievals in HWRF. 32nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.

Presentations and Posters:

  

Brummer, R. L., E. J. Szoke, S. D. Miller, C. J. Seaman, D. T. Lindsey, G. Chirokova, A. B. Schumacher, D. W. Hillger, and D. A. Molenar, 2015: Proving Ground Activities at CIRA. 6th Asia Oceania Meteorological Satellite Users’ Conference (AOMSUC, 9-13 November 2015, Tokyo, Japan. 

Camargo, S., J. A. Knaff, D. Chavas, 2015: The relationship of tropical cyclone size with ENSO. 2015 AGU Fall Meeting. 14-18 December 2014, San Francisco, CA.

Chirokova, G., R. T. DeMaria, J. F. Dostalek, K. D. Musgrave J. A. Knaff, 2015: Use of JPSS ATMS, CrIS, and VIIRS data to Improve Tropical Cyclone Track and Intensity Forecasting. 2015 AGU Fall Meeting. 14-18 December 2014, San Francisco, CA. Oral presentation

Kablick, G., M. Fromm, S. D. Miller, P. Partain, G. Nedoluka, D. Peterson, Z. Li, 2015: Biomass-burning aerosol effects on convective cloud properties and in the detrained UTLS environment. 2015 AGU Fall Meeting. 14-18 December 2014, San Francisco, CA.

Lindsey, D. T., 2016: Himawari and GOES-16. Chicago Chapter of the AMS Meeting, College of DuPage, October, Dupage, IL.

Lindsey, D. T., 2016: Himawari Data and Imagery. A 3-hour course given to a group of forecasters from the Korean Meteorological Agency, COMET Residence Course, Boulder, CO.

Miller, S. D., C. J. Seaman, D. T. Lindsey, T. Schmit, M. Gunshor, D. W. Hillger, and Y. Sumida, 2015: Multispectral Application Development for Himawari-8 AHI, 6th Asia Oceania Meteorological Satellite Users’ Conference (AOMSUC), 9-13 November 2015, Tokyo, Japan. 

Miller, S. D., W. C. Straka, J. Yue, S. M. Smith, M. J. Alexander, L. Hoffmann, M. Setvak, and P. Partain, 2015: Making Waves — The VIIRS Day/Night Band Reveals Upper Atmospheric Gravity Wave via Sensitivity to Nightglow Emissions. 2015 AGU Fall Meeting. 14-18 December 2014, San Francisco, CA. Oral presentation

Musgrave, K. D., 2015: Development and performance of a statistical-dynamical ensemble technique for tropical cyclone intensity guidance.Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project Workshop on Effective Use of Hurricane Ensembles. 17 November 2015, Miami, Florida.

Musgrave, K. D., J. A. Knaff, C. Slocum, L. D. Grasso, and M. DeMaria, 2016: Examination of tropical cyclone structure through synthetic satellite brightness temperatures. 20th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS), AMS Annual Meeting, 10-14 January 2016, New Orleans, LA. (poster presentation)

Noh, Y. – J., S. D. Miller, and A. Heidinger, 2015: Detection of supercooled liquid water-topped mixed-phase clouds from shortwave-infrared satellite observations. 2015 AGU Fall Meeting. 14-18 December 2014, San Francisco, CA. Poster Presentation

Schumacher, A.B., 2015: A hybrid statistical-dynamical approach to tropical cyclone wind speed probabilities. Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project Workshop on Effective Use of Hurricane Ensembles. 17 November 2015, Miami, Florida.

Schumacher, A.B., 2015: An examination of situation-specific hurricane forecast uncertainty statements in NHC Tropical Cyclone Discussions. National Hurricane Center, 12 November. 

Schumacher, A.B., and M. DeMaria, 2016: Using Total Lightning Data to Improve Real-Time Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasts. 12th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems, 96th AMS Annual Meeting, 10-14 January 2016, New Orleans, LA. (poster presentation)

Tourville, N., J.A. Knaff, 2015: Understanding Tropical Cyclone Cloud-top Microphysical Relationships using CloudSat and A-Train data. 2015 AGU Fall Meeting. 14-18 December 2014, San Francisco, CA. Poster Presentation

Xu, J., Q. Li, J. Yue, L. Hoffman, W. Straka, S.D. Miller, W. Yuan, 2015: Concentric Gravity Waves over Northern China Observed by a No-Gap OH Airglow Imager Network and Satellites. 2015 AGU Fall Meeting. 14-18 December 2014, San Francisco, CA.

Notes:

Corrigendum published: 2015, A corrigendum of Knaff et al. (2014) (see above) discussing the consequences of a scaling error made in the original paper was published in the Journal of Climate.  This scaling error impacted the magnitude of TC size inferred from satellite, but did not impact the seasonality, lifecycle evolution or the trends discussed in the original manuscript.  The figure below shows the updated histograms of TC size in the various TC basins. 

 

Caption. Frequency distributions of TC size (R5)  for the North Atlantic (a), eastern North Pacific (b), western North Pacific (c), North Indian Ocean (d) and Southern Hemisphere (e) tropical cyclone basins.  Blue lines, black lines, and red lines are associated with tropical storm, minor hurricane, and major hurricane intensities as indicated in the key (see text for additional information). Units of R5 are distance in degrees latitude (DDLAT, where 1 DDLAT=111 km).

Manuscript published:  J. Knaff co-authored a manuscript appearing in the latest issue of Weather and Forecasting (Sampson C.R, and J.A. Knaff, 2015: A consensus forecast for tropical cyclone gale wind radii. Wea. Forecasting, 30, 1397-1403).  The first discusses how model-based wind estimates can be used to create a consensus forecast of tropical cyclone wind radii.  Currently, official (i.e., NHC/CPHC and JTWC) forecasts of gale-force (34-kt) wind radii are only made through 72h.  However, the results of this new study indicate skillful forecast of gale-force wind radii (i.e. surface wind structure) can be made through five days and could be used as either guidance for longer-lead official forecasts (i.e., beyond the 72 h) or as a proxy for the official forecast for applications that make use of wind radii forecasts (e.g., wind probabilities or wave forecasts).  (J. Knaff)

 

NHC

Traveler

Destination

Purpose

Dates

G. Chirokova
San Francisco
AGU Fall Meeting
13-19 December
 
S. Miller
San Francisco
AGU Fall Meeting
13-19 December
Y-J. Noh
San Francisco
AGU Fall Meeting
14-18 December
S. Longmore
Huntsville, AL
SPoRT Collaboration
AWIPS2 Software Development Workshop

29 November-
5 December

D. Molenar
Huntsville, AL
SPoRT Collaboration
AWIPS2 Software Development Workshop
29 November-
3 December
K. Musgrave
Miami
HFIP Diagnostic Meeting
15-21 November
A. Schumacher
Miami
HFIP Diagnostic Meeting
NHC Collaboration
11-18 November
R. Brummer
Tokyo, Japan
Asia Satellite Meeting
AOMSUC
9-13 November
S. Miller
Tokyo, Japan
Asia Satellite Meeting
AOMSCU
9-13 November
D. Bikos
Oklahoma City
NWA Annual Meeting
19-23 October
E. Szoke
Oklahoma City
NWA Annual Meeting
19-23 October

Mark DeMaria, NHC: Mark DeMaria visited CIRA 17 December to discuss several joint efforts including those related to HFIP, JHT and GOES-R proving ground projects. His visit was prompted by R. DeMaria’s (CIRA) graduation (MS Computer Science) at CSU. (J. Knaff, K. Musgrave, A. Schumacher)

Professor Nam Sung Hyun (Sung) from Seoul National University paid a short visit to CIRA/RAMMB 15-16 December.  He is in charge of a project to produce 3-Dimensional winds from combined satellite-based products and is especially interested in our work on tropical cyclone wind fields.  His project is risk reduction in preparation for the launch of Geo-Komsat-2A and -2B.  (J. Knaff, D. Lindsey, D. Hillger)

 

Sabbatical Plans Visitor: Professor Bart Geerts of the Department of Atmospheric Science at the University of Wyoming in Laramie WY visited CIRA on 19 November 2015 to discuss potential plans for a sabbatical-year visit which would commence in the fall of 2016. Together with RAMMB and CIRA personnel, various research ideas were discussed, particularly those involving aircraft field campaigns, one of Geerts’ strengths. Together with CIRA, a field campaign might benefit the post-launch cal/val checkout of GOES-R ABI, potentially during the spring or summer of 2017, while simultaneously addressing a scientific mission that would be suitable for NSF funding. (D. Hillger, D. Lindsey, S. Miller, C. Kummerow)

 

Visit from Tony Mostek and Jim Gurka: Tony Mostek (NWS/OCLO) and Jim Gurka visited CIRA on 17 November 2015 to discuss GOES-R related training tasks for the VISIT / SHyMet team. Mostek and Gurka hosted the Satellite Training Advisory Team (STAT) at COMET earlier in November to develop GOES-R training needs for the NWS. The main objective of the visit was to go over the STAT report to determine what components of the training will be completed by CIRA. One of the outcomes of their visit is the need for Himawari-8 data in AWIPS-2 to meet the training requirements of using “GOES-R like” imagery in AWIPS-2 as part of the new training scheduled for delivery by October 2016. (D. Bikos, E. Szoke, B. Connell)

 

JMA Visitor: Mr. Yasuhiko Sumida from the Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA) arrived 5 October 2015 to visit CIRA for two weeks. He is in the middle of a 1 year assignment at CIMSS in Wisconsin. Mr. Sumida is interested in CIRA’s Hybrid Atmospherically Corrected true color methodology for Himawari-8, as well as an algorithm to predict convective initiation from Himawari data. On Tuesday Oct. 6, RAMMB/CIRA scientists met with Mr. Sumida and provided an overview of some select ongoing research projects in the branch. (D. Lindsey)

Airmass image Himawari-8 (18:30 UTC 15 October 2015)