Regional and Mesoscale Meteorology Branch

Published:

• Refereed

Gladkova, I., A. Ignotov, F. Shahriar, Y. Kihai, D. W. Hillger, and B. Petrenko, 2016: Improved VIIRS and MODIS SST Imagery. Remote Sensing, 8(1), doi:10.3390/rs8010079

• Nonrefereed

See Presentations and Posters.

Accepted:

• Refereed  

Grasso, L. D., D. T. Lindsey, K.-S. Lim, A. Clark, D. E. Bikos, 2016: Evaluation of and Suggested Improvements to the WSM6 Microphysics in WRF-ARW Using Synthetic and Observed GOES-13 Imagery. Monthly Weather Review.

Kliewer, A. J., S. J. Fletcher, A. S. Jones and J. M. Forsythe, 2016:  Comparison of Gaussian, logarithmic transform and mixed Gaussian-lognormal distribution-based 1DVAR microwave temperature-water vapor mixing ratio retrievals.  Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, doi:10.1002/qj.2651.

Lang, T. J., S. A. Rutledge, B. Dolan, P. Krehbiel, W. Rison, D. T. Lindsey, 2016: Lightning in Wildfire Smoke Plumes Observed in Colorado during Summer 2012. Mon.Wea.Rev.

Miller, S. D., T. L. Schmidt, C. J. Seaman, M. M. Gunshor, D. T. Lindsey, D. W. Hillger, Y. Sumida and R. A. Kohrs, 2016: A Sight for Sore Eyes: The Return of True Color Imagery to Geostationary Satellites, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.

• Nonrefereed

Submitted:

• Refereed 

Goni, G., J. A. Knaff, I-I Lin, 2016: [The Tropics] Tropical Cyclone Heat Potential/ Oceanic Heat Content, [in NOAA “State of the Climate 2015”], Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc..

Grasso, L. D., D. W. Hillger, M. Sengupta, 2016:  Demonstrating the Utility of the GOES-R 2.25 µm band for Fire Retrieval. Geophysical Research Letters.

Sampson, C. R., J. Hansen, P. Wittman, J. A. Knaff, and A. B. Schumacher, 2016: Wave probabilities consistent with official tropical cyclone forecasts. Ocean Model.

Taraphdar, S., L. R. Leung, S. Hagos, K. Balaguru, and J. A. Knaff, 2016: Why is the United States experiencing less frequent landfalling major hurricanes in the recent decades? Science.

• Nonrefereed 

Bhatia, K., D. Nolan, A. B. Schumacher, M. DeMaria, 2016: Evaluation and Applications of the Prediction of Intensity Model Error (PRIME) Forecasting System. 32^nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.  

Bender, M., M. Morin, K. Emmanuel, J. A. Knaff, C. R. Sampson, I. Ginis and B. Thomas, 2016: Impact of Storm structure and the environmental conditions in the the Rapid Intensification of Hurricanes Katrina and Patricia. 32^nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.  

Chirokova, G., M. DeMaria, J. F. Dostalek, R. DeMaria, J. A. Knaff, K. D. Musgrave, and J. Beven, 2016: Evaluation of the ATMS-MIRS and NUCAPS retrievals in the vicinity of the Tropical Cyclones. 32^nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.  

Chirokova, G., J. A. Knaff, R. DeMaria, M. DeMaria, and J. Beven, 2016: Use of the VIIRS Day-Night Band Imagery for Tropical Cyclone Analysis and Forecasting. 32^nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.      

DeMaria, M., G. Chirokova, J. A. Knaff, K. D. Musgrave, and M. Bozeman, 2016: Recent Improvements to NHC’s Statistical-Dynamical Tropical Cyclone Intensity Prediction Models. 32^nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.  

DeMaria, R., J. A. Knaff, G. Chirokova, and J. Beven, 2016: Automated Objective Tropical Cyclone Eye Detection. 32^nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.  

Dostalek, J. F., G. Chirokova, J. A. Knaff, S. Longmore, R. DeMaria, A. B. Schumacher, and C. R. Sampson, 2016: Recent and Future Updates to the Operational, Satellite-Based Tropical Cyclone Products Produced at the Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere. 32^nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.  

Dunion, J., J. Kaplan, A. B. Schumacher, J. Cossuth, K. D. Musgrave, and P. Leighton, 2016: The Tropical Cyclone Genesis Index (TCGI). 32^nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.

Griffin, S. M., C.S. Velden, J. P. Dunion, and A. B. Schumacher, 2016: Examining trends in Satellite-Detected Overshooting Tops as a Potential Predictor of Tropical Cyclone Genesis. 32^nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.

Knaff, J. A., T. Birner, G. Chirokova, L. Rivoire, and R. DeMaria, 2016: Satellite Views of the Tropical Cyclone Lifecycle. 32^nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.

Knaff, J. A., G. Chirokova, C. R. Sampson, and M. DeMaria, 2016: Development of Global Statistical-Dynamical Tropical Cyclone Wind Radii and MSLP Guidance. 32^nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.

Musgrave, K. D., M. DeMaria, and J. Kaplan: Examination of Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification Guidance with Multiple Dynamical Model Inputs. 32^nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.

Musgrave K. D., M. DeMaria, and B. D. McNoldy: Global Expansion of a Statistical-Dynamical Ensemble for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Prediction. 32^nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.

Schumacher, A. B. and E. Dagg: An examination of uncertainty statements in tropical cyclone forecast products. 32^nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.

Schumacher, A. B. and M. DeMaria: Incorporating global model uncertainty information into the Monte Carlo wind speed probability model. 32^nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.

Trabing, B. C., J. A. Knaff, 2016: Analysis of Hurricanes Using Long-Range Lightning Detection Networks. 32^nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.

Wu, T. -C., M. Zupanski, L. D. Grasso, P. Brown, C.D. Kummerow, and J. A. Knaff, 2016: The GSI Capability to Assimilate TRMM and GPM Hydrometeor Retrievals in HWRF. 32^nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.

Presentations and Posters:

Chirokova, G., 2016: Results from the FY15-16 JHT SHIPS/LGEM Improvements project. Tropical Cyclone Operations and Research Forum/70th Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference (TCORF/IHC), 15-17 March, Miami, FL.

Connell, B. H., S. D. Miller, D. E. Bikos, E. J. Szoke, A. S. Bachmeier, S. Lindstrom, A. Mostek, B. C. Motta, and L. Veeck, 2016: JPSS Readiness through Training: VISIT, SHyMet, WMO, Vlab and a new Liaison. 12th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems, 96th AMS Annual Meeting, 10-14 January 2016, New Orleans, LA. (oral presentation)

Hillger, D. W., T. J. Kopp, C. J. Seaman, S. D. Miller, and D. T. Lindsey, 2016: How is VIIRS EDR Imagery Validated? 12th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems, 96th AMS Annual Meeting, 10-14 January 2016, New Orleans, LA. (oral presentation)

Lindsey, D. T., S. D. Miller, C. J. Seaman, D. A. Molenar, D. W. Hillger, T. J. Schmit, W. Straka, and Y.Sumida, 2016: A First Look at Imagery from Himawari-8. 12th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems, 96th AMS Annual Meeting, 10-14 January 2016, New Orleans, LA. (poster presentation)

Lindsey, D. T., L. D. Grasso, Y. – J. Noh, 2016: Improvements to the CRTM for Cloudy Radiance Calculations. 4th Annual Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation (JCSDA),96th AMS Annual Meeting, 10-14 January 2016, New Orleans, LA.

Miller, S. D., 2016: The Night is not so dark: VIIRS Day/Night band enhanced Applications. 96th AMS Annual Meeting, 10-14 January 2016, New Orleans, LA.

Miller, S. D., 2016: VIIRS Day/Night Band Capabilities for Nighttime Imaging. 96th AMS Annual Meeting, 10-14 January 2016, New Orleans, LA.

Miller, S. D., T. J. Schmit, C. J. Seaman, M. Gunshor, D. T. Lindsey, D. W. Hillger, and Y. Sumida, 2016: The Return of True Color to the Geostationary Satellites: Transitioning from Polar, to Himawari, to GOES-R. 12th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems, 96th AMS Annual Meeting, 10-14 January 2016, New Orleans, LA. (oral presentation)

Musgrave, K. D., J. A. Knaff, C. Slocum, L. D. Grasso, and M. DeMaria, 2016: Examination of tropical cyclone structure through synthetic satellite brightness temperatures. 20th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS), AMS Annual Meeting, 10-14 January 2016, New Orleans, LA. (poster presentation)

Schumacher, A. B., 2016: Improvements to Operational Statistical Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecast Models. Tropical Cyclone Operations and Research Forum/70th Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference (TCORF/IHC), 15-17 March, Miami, FL.

Schumacher, A. B., 2016: Overview of 2015 NHC PG Activities. NHC Satellite Proving Ground Review, 27 January 2016,NHC, Miami, FL.

Schumacher, A.B., 2016: Uses of SRSO Imagery at NHC. NHC Satellite Proving Ground Review, 27 January 2016,NHC, Miami, FL.

Schumacher, A. B., and M. DeMaria, 2016: Using Total Lightning Data to Improve Real-Time Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasts. 12th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems, 96th AMS Annual Meeting, 10-14 January 2016, New Orleans, LA. (poster presentation)

Tourville, N., 2016: Scientific Analysis and Visualization of Tropical Cyclone’s using CloudSat and A-Train data in Python. Sixth Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python, 96th AMS Annual Meeting, 10-14 January 2016, New Orleans, LA.

Notes:  

NHC Satellite Proving Ground Review: 2015 NHC Satellite Proving Ground post-season meeting was held at the National Hurricane Center (NHC) on 27 January 2016. Andrea Schumacher was one of the meeting organizers. She participated on-site, and presented two talks: “Overview of 2015 NHC PG Activities” and “Uses of SRSO Imagery at NHC.” Galina Chirokova provided multiple examples of the three products that are currently being developed as part of the JPSS PG TC project: the moisture flux application, the eye-detection applications, and the VIIRS TC-centered DNB imagery.

Awards:

CFC Award: RAMMB received a Gold Award from the Rocky Mountain Combined Federal Campaign (see image below) for 2015, and D. Lindsey received a Certificate of Appreciation for coordinating RAMMB’s participation in the CFC. (D. Lindsey, J. Knaff, D. Molenar, D. Hillger)

Visit from Jason Burks from NASA/SPoRT and Ken Sperow from NOAA/MDL: Jason Burks from NASA/SPoRT and Ken Sperow from NOAA/MDLvisited RAMMB/CIRA from 2-5 February 2016. While at CIRA, Jason and Ken worked with D. Molenar and S. Longmore on several joint AWIPS2 projects. The group successfully built and installed an experimental version of AWIPS2 from the NOAA Virtual Lab (VLAB) code repositories. The accomplishment is significant in that it allows developers outside of NWS to build advanced versions of AWIPS2 before NWS release, allowing RAMMB/CIRA staff to test AWIPS2 applications prior to NWS deployment, thus providing better support to NWS field partners.

The group also successfully retrieved the AWIPS II 16.2.1 software from the VLAB repository, and built the RPMs with the VLAB build-applications-with-python (BAP) within a Docker container. The AWIPS2 II RPMs were then installed in the main system. Docker is an open-source project that automates the deployment of applications inside software ‘containers’. With Docker, software developers can develop, ship, and run any application from a lightweight, portable, self-sufficient container that can run virtually anywhere. The use of Docker will significantly simplify application sharing, application porting from research to operations, and maintenance of multiple working environments on a single workstation. S. Longmore is currently writing comprehensive documentation for installing Docker, and utilizing BAP to install AWIPS II within a Docker container incorporating existing documentation for Matt Foster, Ken Sperow, and Jason Burks.

The group also developed a work plan for the upcoming AWIPS2 Experimental Products Development Team training session that will be held at SPoRT in March 2016. (D. Molenar, S. Longmore)

Daniel Nietfeld Visit: Daniel Nietfeld, the GOES-R Deputy Team Lead for Product Readiness & Operations (PRO), visited CIRA on Friday 22 January 2016. A number of topics were discussed, including plans for 1-minute mesoscale sector selection by the NWS with GOES-R, RGBs in AWIPS-2, and plans for GOES-R Training for the NWS. (D. Lindsey, D. Molenar, D. Bikos, S. Miller, B. Connell, and J. Torres)