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RAMMB-CIRA Administrative Quarterly Report


3rd Quarter: April, May, June 2016

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To Accepted and Submitted Publications  To Presentations and Posters To Awards

Published: 

  • Refereed

Knaff, J. A., C. J. Slocum, K. D. Musgrave, C. R. Sampson, and B. R. Strahl, 2016: Using routinely available information to estimate tropical cyclone wind structure. Mon. Wea. Rev., 144(4), 1233-1247. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-15-0267.1

Line, W. E., T. J. Schmit, D. T. Lindsey, and S. J. Goodman, 2016: Use of Geostationary Super Rapid Scan Satellite Imagery by the Storm Prediction Center. Weather and Forecasting, 31(2), 483-494. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-15-0135.1

Miller, S. D., T. L. Schmidt, C. J. Seaman, M. M. Gunshor, D. T. Lindsey, D. W. Hillger, Y. Sumida and R. A. Kohrs, 2016: A Sight for Sore Eyes: The Return of True Color Imagery to Geostationary Satellites, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 97(10), 1803-1816, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00154.1

Mills, S. and S. D. Miller, 2016: VIIRS Day/Night Band—Correcting striping and nonuniformity over a very large dynamic range. J. Imaging, 2(1), 9; doi:10.3390/jimaging2010009, http://www.mdpi.com/2313-433X/2/1/9

  • Nonrefereed

See Presentations and Posters.

Accepted:

  • Refereed

Boukabara, S., et. al. (including D. T. Lindsey and L. D. Grasso), 2016: S4: An O2R/R2O Infrastructure of Optimizing Satellite Data Utilization in NOAA Numerical Modeling Systems. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.

Grasso, L. D., D. T. Lindsey, K. -S. Lim, A. Clark, D. E. Bikos, 2016: Evaluation of and Suggested Improvements to the WSM6 Microphysics in WRF-ARW Using Synthetic and Observed GOES-13 Imagery. Mon.Wea.Rev.

Kliewer, A. J., S. J. Fletcher, A. S. Jones and J. M. Forsythe, 2016:  Comparison of Gaussian, logarithmic transform and mixed Gaussian-lognormal distribution-based 1DVAR microwave temperature-water vapor mixing ratio retrievals.  Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, doi:10.1002/qj.2651.

Lang, T. J., S. A. Rutledge, B. Dolan, P. Krehbiel, W. Rison, D. T. Lindsey, 2016: Lightning in Wildfire Smoke Plumes Observed in Colorado during Summer 2012. Mon.Wea.Rev.

  • Nonrefereed

Submitted:

  • Refereed 

Goni, G., J. A. Knaff, I-I Lin, 2016: [The Tropics] Tropical Cyclone Heat Potential/ Oceanic Heat Content, [in NOAA “State of the Climate 2015”], Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.

Grasso, L. D., D. W. Hillger, M. Sengupta, 2016:  Demonstrating the Utility of the GOES-R 2.25 µm band for Fire Retrieval. Geophysical Research Letters.

Noh, Y.-J., J. M. Forsythe, S. D. Miller, C. J. Seaman, Y. Li, A. K. Heidinger, D. T. Lindsey, M. Rogers, and P. Partain: Cloud Base Height Estimation from VIIRS. Part II: A Statistical Algorithm Based on A-Train Satellite Data. J. Atmos. Ocean. Tech.

Sampson, C. R., J. Hansen, P. Wittman, J. A. Knaff, and A. B. Schumacher, 2016: Wave probabilities consistent with official tropical cyclone forecasts. Ocean Model.

Rivoire, L., T. Birner, and J. A. Knaff, 2016: Observed evolution of the fine-scale thermal structure in tropical cyclones. Geophysical Research Letters.

Seaman, C. J., Y.-J. Noh, S. D. Miller, A. K. Heidinger and D. T. Lindsey: Cloud Base Height Estimation from VIIRS. Part I: Operational Algorithm Validation Against CloudSat. J. Atmos. Ocean. Tech.

Taraphdar, S., L. R. Leung, S. Hagos, K. Balaguru, and J. A. Knaff, 2016: Why is the United States experiencing less frequent landfalling major hurricanes in the recent decades? Science.

Wu, T. -C.. M. Zupanski, L. D. Grasso, P. Brown, C. Kummerow, and J. A. Knaff, 2016: The GSI capability to assimilate TRMM and GPM hydrometeor retrievals in HWRF. Quarterly Journal of The Royal Meteorological Society.

  • Nonrefereed               

Presentations and Posters:

  

Bender, M., M. Morin, K. Emmanuel, J. A. Knaff, C. R. Sampson, I. Ginis and B. Thomas, 2016: Impact of Storm structure and the environmental conditions in the the Rapid Intensification of Hurricanes Katrina and Patricia. 32nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.  

Bhatia, K., D. Nolan, A. B. Schumacher, M. DeMaria, 2016: Evaluation and Applications of the Prediction of Intensity Model Error (PRIME) Forecasting System. 32nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.  

Chirokova, G., M. DeMaria, J. F. Dostalek, R. T. DeMaria, J. A. Knaff, K. D. Musgrave, and J. Beven, 2016: Evaluation of the ATMS-MIRS and NUCAPS retrievals in the vicinity of the Tropical Cyclones. 32nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.  

Chirokova, G., J. A. Knaff, R. T. DeMaria, M. DeMaria, and J. Beven, 2016: Use of the VIIRS Day-Night Band Imagery for Tropical Cyclone Analysis and Forecasting. 32nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico. (poster)

DeMaria, M., G. Chirokova, J. A. Knaff, K. D. Musgrave, and M. Bozeman, 2016: Recent Improvements to NHC’s Statistical-Dynamical Tropical Cyclone Intensity Prediction Models. 32nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.  

DeMaria, R. T., J. A. Knaff, G. Chirokova, and J. Beven, 2016: Automated Objective Tropical Cyclone Eye Detection. 32nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.  

Dostalek, J. F., G. Chirokova, J. A. Knaff, S. Longmore, R. T. DeMaria, A. B. Schumacher, and C. R. Sampson, 2016: Recent and Future Updates to the Operational, Satellite-Based Tropical Cyclone Products Produced at the Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere. 32nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.  

Dunion, J., J. Kaplan, A. B. Schumacher, J. Cossuth, K. D. Musgrave, and P. Leighton, 2016: The Tropical Cyclone Genesis Index (TCGI). 32nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico. (poster)

Grasso, L. D., D. T. Lindsey, Y. – J. Noh, and C. O’Dell, 2016: Improving CRTM solar reflection at 3.9 µm. Naval Research Laboratory (NRL), June 2016, Monterey, CA.

Grasso, L. D., Y. – J. Noh, and D. T. Lindsey, 2016: Improving CRTM solar reflection at 3.9 µm. JCSDA 14th Technical Review Meeting and Science Workshop on Satellite Data Assimilation. 31 May-2 June 2016, Moss Landing, CA. Oral presentation

Grasso, L. D., D. T. Lindsey, Y. – J. Noh, and C. O’Dell, 2016: Improving CRTM solar reflection at 3.9 µm. JCSDA 14th Technical Review Meeting and Science Workshop on Satellite Data Assimilation. 31 May-2 June 2016, Moss Landing, CA. Oral presentation

Griffin, S. M., C. S. Velden, J. P. Dunion, and A. B. Schumacher, 2016: Examining trends in Satellite-Detected Overshooting Tops as a Potential Predictor of Tropical Cyclone Genesis. 32nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico. (poster)

Knaff, J. A., 2016: Key NESDIS Research and R2O Intended to Improve Hurricane Forecasts. 70th Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference, 14-17 March, Miami, FL.

Knaff, J. A., T. Birner, G. Chirokova, L. Rivoire, and R. T. DeMaria, 2016: Satellite Views of the Tropical Cyclone Lifecycle. 32nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico. (poster)

Knaff, J. A., G. Chirokova, C. R. Sampson, and M. DeMaria, 2016: Development of Global Statistical-Dynamical Tropical Cyclone Wind Radii and MSLP Guidance. 32nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.

Lindsey, D. T., 2016: Observing convection with the next generation of geostationary satellites: Himawari, GOES-R, and Meteosat Third Generation. EUMETSAT Convection Working Group Meeting, April, Florence, Italy.

Musgrave, K. D., M. DeMaria, and J. Kaplan, 2016: Examination of Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification Guidance with Multiple Dynamical Model Inputs. 32nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.

Musgrave K. D., M. DeMaria, and B. D. McNoldy, 2016: Global Expansion of a Statistical-Dynamical Ensemble for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Prediction. 32nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico. (poster)

Schumacher, A. B. and E. L. Dagg, 2016: An examination of uncertainty statements in tropical cyclone forecast products. 32nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico. (poster)

Schumacher, A. B. and M. DeMaria, 2016: Incorporating global model uncertainty information into the Monte Carlo wind speed probability model. 32nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.

Slocum, C. J., 2016: Forced, balanced model of tropical cyclone intensification. 32nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.

Trabing, B. C., J. A. Knaff, 2016: Analysis of Hurricanes Using Long-Range Lightning Detection Networks. 32nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.

Wu, T. -C., M. Zupanski, L. D. Grasso, P. Brown, C. D. Kummerow, and J. A. Knaff, 2016: The GSI Capability to Assimilate TRMM and GPM Hydrometeor Retrievals in HWRF. 32nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, 18-20 April 2016, San Juan, Puerto Rico.

Wu, T. – C., M. Zupanski, L. D. Grasso, P. Brown, C. D. Kummerow, and J. A. Knaff, 2016: The GSI capability to assimilate TRMM and GPM hydrometeor retrievals in HWRF. Oral presentation given by L. D. Grasso for Ting-Chi. JCSDA 14th Technical Review Meeting and Science Workshop on Satellite Data Assimilation. 31 May-2 June 2016, Moss Landing, CA.

   
Purpose
NRL Collaboration
Destination
Monterey, CA
Participant
L. Grasso
Dates
June 29-July 3
   
Purpose
OCONUS Meeting
Destination
Honolulu, HI
Participants
S. Miller, A. Schumacher,
J. Torres, C. Seaman
Dates
June 26-July 2
   
Purpose
GEONETCAST GOESR Meeting
Destination
Bogota, Columbia
Participant
B. Connell
Dates
June 6-11
   
Purpose
NRL Presentation & JCSDA 14th Technical Review Meeting and Science Workshop on Satellite Data Assimilation
Destination
Monterey, CA & Moss Landing, CA
Participant
L. Grasso
Dates
May 31-June 2
   
Purpose
NOAA Satellite Proving Ground &
User Readiness Meetings
Destination
Norman, OK
Participants
D. Bikos, D. Lindsey, D. Molenar,
A. Schumacher, E. Szoke, J. Torres
Dates
May 9-13
   
Purpose
Caribbean Institute of Meteorology
and Hydrology
Meeting
Destination
Barbados
Participants
B. Connell, E. Dagg, Garbanzo
Dates
May 1-8
   
Purpose
WMO VLab Management
Group Meetings
Destination
Barbados
Participant
B. Connell
Dates
May 9-14
   
Purpose
32nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Destination
San Juan, PR
Participants
J. Knaff, G. Chirokova, R. DeMaria,
J. Dostalek, K. Musgrave, Pologne,
A. Schumacher, C. Slocum
Dates
April 16-24
   
Purpose
EUMETSAT Workshop &
UK Met Office Visit
Destination
London, GBR & Florence, Italy
Participant
D. Lindsey
Dates
April 2-12
   

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Notes:

D. Lindsey traveled to Florence, Italy, and Exeter, United Kingdom, on 2-12 April 2016 to attend a EUMETSAT-sponsored Convection Working Group Meeting, and to visit the UK Met Office. At the CWG Meeting, a 45-min presentation was given titled “Observing convection with the next generation of geostationary satellites: Himawari, GOES-R, and Meteosat Third Generation.” While visiting the Met Office, a 50-min seminar was given titled “Simulated Satellite Imagery: A Tool for Model Evaluation, Operational Cloud Forecasts, and Preparing for Future Satellites.” (D. Lindsey)participants at the Convection Working Group Meeting

 

Figure. Photo of the participants at the Convection Working Group Meeting in Florence, Italy, April 4-8.

NRL VISIT: Lewis Grasso visited the Naval Research Laboratory in Monterey, California the first week of June 2016. During his visit he continued collaborating with Drs. Yi and Hao Jin and Dr. Jason Nachamkin. A new collaboration was developed with Dr. Josh Cossuth. During his visit, Grasso gave an oral presentation. Dr. Grasso also participated in the JCSDA 14th Technical Review Meeting and Science Workshop on Satellite Data Assimilation, Moss Landing, CA. (L. Grasso, Y-J Noh, CIRA, and D. Lindsey)

participants at the 14th Technical Review Meeting and Science Workshop on Satellite Data Assimilation

Figure: Group photo of participants at the 14th Technical Review Meeting and Science Workshop on Satellite Data Assimilation. 31 May-2 June 2016, Moss Landing, CA. Photo courtesy of L. Grasso.

Seoul Nation University visitor: Nan Sung Hyun, Professor at Seoul Nation University visited CIRA on 27 April. He met with J. Knaff to discuss KMA’s plans to make a three dimensional satellite-model-based wind analysis that will use techniques similar to Mueller et al. (2006) Demuth et al. (2006), and Knaff et al (2011) to create the tropical cyclone portion of the wind fields. The satellite components will thus include microwave, IR-proxy, cloud-feature-tracked, and scatterometry based winds. Dr. Hyun also met with D. Lindsey to discuss tracking of ocean internal waves and Y-J Noh to discuss her work with precipitation (J. Knaff, D. Lindsey, and Y.-J. Noh)

 

NESDIS Visitors: Greg Mandt, Steve Goodman, and Jaime Daniels visited RAMMB/CIRA on 25 April 2016 to participate in a ribbon-cutting ceremony to dedicate the new GOES-R antenna system at CIRA. The antenna was a cost-sharing project between NOAA and Colorado State University, and thus included Chris Kummerow (Director of CIRA), Jeff Collett (Department Head, Atmospheric Science), David McLean (Dean of Engineering), and Alan Rudolph (VP for Research). The antenna project was started in 2015, in anticipation of the GOES-R launch in October 2016. The visit included slide presentations by several of the principal project scientists who are benefitting from GOES-R funding directed to CIRA. Attendees were also invited to the daily weather discussion at CIRA which has been an ongoing event at RAMMB since the 1980s. (D. Hillger, D. Lindsey, D. Molenar, and J. Knaff)

GOES-R antenna system ribbon-cutting ceremony

 

Figure: GOES-R antenna system ribbon-cutting ceremony with giant green-and-gold scissors cutting the gold ribbon in front of the base of the new GOES-R antenna at CIRA’s antenna farm. From left to right: Jeff Collett, Greg Mandt, Steve Goodman, David McLean, Chris Kummerow, and Alan Rudolph.

 

NRLMRY Visitor: Jim Hansen, NRLMRY stopped by for coffee on June 30, his travel day. He was attending a cognitive learning workshop at CSU. He chatted informally about happenings at NRLMRY and the joint work CIRA and NRLMRY have planned at JTWC. (J. Knaff)

VIIRS_image2S-NPP VIIRS image ~9 hours after the initial eruption of Pavlof on 27 March 2016