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RAMMB-CIRA Administrative Quarterly Report

4th Quarter: July, August, September 2020

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Publications, Presentations, and Awards

To Accepted and Submitted Publications  To Presentations and Posters To Awards


  • Refereed

Barnes, E. A., B. Toms, J. W. Hurrell, I. Ebert-Uphoff, C. Anderson, and D. Anderson, 2020: Indicator patterns of forced change learned by an artificial neural network. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, AGU,

Domingues, R., G. J. Goni, J. A. Knaff, I-I Lin, and F. Bringas, 2020: [The Tropics] Tropical Cyclone Heat Potential [in NOAA “State of the Climate in 2019”], Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.101(8), S227-S229, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0077.1.

McGovern, A., A. Bostrom, I. Ebert-Uphoff, R. He, C. Thorncroft, P. Tissot, S. Boukabara, J. Demuth, D. J. Gagne II, J. Hickey, and J. K. Williams, Weathering environmental change through advances in AI. Eos101(8),

Rutledge, S. A., K. A. Hilburn, A. Clayton, B. Fuchs, and S. D. Miller, 2020: Evaluating geostationary lightning mapper flash rates within intense convective storms. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos.125(14),

Slocum C. J., 2020: Hurricane Laura was the latest storm to strengthen fast, but is rapid intensification really becoming more common? The Conversation,

Toms, B.A., E.A. Barnes, and I. Ebert-Uphoff, 2020: Physically Interpretable Neural Networks for the Geosciences: Applications to Earth System Variability. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (JAMES),

  • Nonrefereed

See Presentations and Posters below.


  • Refereed

Dostalek, J. F., W. Schubert, M. DeMaria, 2020: Derivation and Solution of the Omega Equation Associated with a Balance Theory on the Sphere. AGU’s Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems.

Grasso, L. D., D. T. Lindsey, K. -S. Lim, A. Clark, D. E. Bikos, 2020: Evaluation of and Suggested Improvements to the WSM6 Microphysics in WRF-ARW Using Synthetic and Observed GOES-13 Imagery. Mon. Wea. Rev.

Knaff, J.A., C. R. Sampson,T. Meissner, L. Ricciardulli, M. J. Brennan, A. Mouche, N. Reul, M. Morris, M. Kucus, G. Chirokova, C. J. Slocum, and P. Caroff, 2020: A practical guide to estimating tropical cyclone surface winds: History, current status, emerging technologies, and a look to the future. Mon. Wea. Rev.

Lang, T. J., S. A. Rutledge, B. Dolan, P. Krehbiel, W. Rison, and D. T. Lindsey, 2020: Lightning in Wildfire Smoke Plumes Observed in Colorado during Summer 2012. Mon.Wea.Rev.

Nachamkin, J. E., Y. Jin, L. D. Grasso, and K. Richardson, 2020: Using Synthetic Brightness Temperatures to Address Uncertainties in Cloud Top Height Verification. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol.

  • Nonrefereed


  • Refereed 

Combot, C., A. Mouche, J. A. Knaff, Y. Zhao, Y. Zhao, L. Vinour, Y. Quilfen, and B. Chapron, 2020: Extensive high-resolution Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) data analysis of Tropical Cyclones: comparisons with SFMR flights and Best-Track. Mon. Wea. Rev.

Grasso, L. D., D. E. Bikos, J. F. Dostalek, T.-C. Wu, K. A. Hillburn, W. E. Line, J. R. Torres, and E. J. Szoke, 2020: Application of the GOES-15 Advanced Baseline Imager: Morphology of a Pre-convective Environment on 17 April 2019. Electronic Journal of Severe Storms Meteorology.

Grasso, L. D., D. W. Hillger, and M. Sengupta, 2020:  Demonstrating the Utility of the GOES-R 2.25 µm band for Fire Retrieval. Geophysical Research Letters.

Hilburn, K. A., I. Ebert-Uphoff, and S. D. Miller, 2020: Development and Interpretation of a Neural Network-Based Synthetic Radar Reflectivity Estimator Using GOES-R Satellite Observations. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. Submitted.

Halide, H., A. Andika, M. Z. Dassir, and J. A. Knaff, 2020: Determining Skill of Operational Models for Long-Lead ENSO Forecasting. Geophysical Research Letters.

Knaff, J. A., and R. T. DeMaria, 2020: Forecasting tropical cyclone eye formation and dissipation in infrared imagery. Wea. Forecasting.

Reimel, K., S. A. Rutledge, S. D. Miller, B. Fuchs, and D. T. Lindsey, 2020: Relationships between total lightning and tornadogenesis. Wea. Forecasting.

Taraphdar, S., L. R. Leung, S. Hagos, K. Balaguru, and J. A. Knaff, 2020: Why is the United States experiencing less frequent landfalling major hurricanes in the recent decades? Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.

Trabing, B., J. A. Knaff, and K. D. Musgrave, 2020: Hurricane Observations Using Long-Range Lightning Detection Networks. Wea. Forcasting.

Trott, C., A. Mayer, and A. B. Schumacher, 2020: Beyond the Medium and the Message: The Role of Public Trust in Weather Communication. Weather, Climate and Society.

Van den Heever, S., and C. J. Slocum, 2020: Driving into Cold Pools and Flying into Updrafts of Deep Convective Storms. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.


Dostalek, J. F., I. Ebert-Uphoff, and L. D. Grasso, 2021: Using Machine Learning to Improve Vertical Profiles of Temperature and Moisture for Severe Weather Nowcasting. AMS 20th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science, 10-14 January,

Forsythe, J. M., 2020: Multisensor Satellite-Driven Water Vapor Products for Forecasters. (abstract submitted), NWA 2020 Annual Meeting, 12-17 September, Tulsa, OK.

Grasso, L. D., 2020: Numerical Simulation of the May 15 and April 26, 1991 Tornadic Thunderstorms. AMS 30th Conference on Severe Local Storms, 12-16 October, Santa Fe, NM.

Grasso, L. D., J. F. Dostalek, D. E. Bikos, J. R. Torres, K. A. Hilburn, T.-C. Wu, E. J. Szoke, and W. E. Line, 2020: Application of the GOES-16 Advanced Baseline Imager: Morphology of a Pre-convective Environment on 17 April 2019. AMS 30th Conference on Severe Local Storms, 12-16 October, Santa Fe, NM.

Knaff, J. A., and D. Chavas, 2021: Efforts to estimate the radius of maximum winds in tropical cyclones. AMS Fourth Special Symposium on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones. 10-14 January.

Kusselson, S., 2020: The Very Wet Period from October 2019 to March 2020 in the Southeast U.S. (abstract submitted), NWA 2020 Annual Meeting, 12-17 September, Tulsa, OK.

Line, W. E., 2020: Using GOES-R and JPSS Satellite Data to Detect and Track Hazardous Sea Spray in the High Latitudes. (abstract submitted), NWA 2020 Annual Meeting, 12-17 September, Tulsa, OK.

Miller, S. D., 2020: Night and Day: A New Era in Satellite Observations. (virtual keynote address), 2020 Satellite Educators Association (SEA) Conference, 25 July.

Torres, J. R., 2021: 2020 Weather Events observed by Joint Polar Satellite System (JPSS). 101 AMS Annual Meeting, 10-14 January.

Torres, J. R., 2021: JPSS and GOES Fire Monitoring Capabilities and Observations of the Pine Gulch Fire in Western Colorado. 101 AMS Annual Meeting, 10-14 January.

Ver Hoef, L., H. Adams, E. King, Y. Lee, and I. Ebert-Uphoff, 2021: Topological Data Analysis for Identifying Convection in GOES-R Imagery. AMS 20th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science, 10-14 January.

Presentations and Posters:

Ebert-Uphoff, I., 2020: Which strategies did my neural network learn? (virtual presentation), 2nd NOAA Workshop on Leveraging AI in Environmental Sciences, 17 September.

Forsythe, J. M., 2020: Multisensor Satellite-Driven Water Vapor Products for Forecasters. (virtual presentation), Satellite session of the National Weather Association 45th Annual Meeting, 13-17 September.

Awards and Recognition: 

AMS Editor’s Award: The Council of the American Meteorological Society voted to award John Knaff an AMS Editor’s Award “For providing multiple rigorous, timely, and constructive reviews across three AMS journals, and also for contributing consistently excellent reviews over a period of many years.”

Travel: 4th Quarter FY20 (July, August, September)

Due to Coronavirus (COVID-19), there were no trips for the CIRA/RAMM Branch.

Visitors: 4th Quarter FY20 (July, August, September)

Due to Coronavirus (COVID-19) there were no visitors to the CIRA/RAMM Branch.